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See, that’s what the app is perfect for.

Sounds perfect Wahhhh, I don’t wanna
collapsedsquid
collapsedsquid

Moving this off the reblog chain with @rustingbridges

Yeah, property is violence. I don’t disagree with you. What’s plan b, though? I want something and you want something, how are we going to settle this? Negotiation when it’s most advantageous and violence when it’s not.

One of the hopes of the ancap system (and most other systems of government) is to incentivize conflict resolution in a way that reduces the creation of negative externalities.

Democracy is how we deal with this type of decision.  At the very least, accepting that property is coercion means that we should reject totally the idea of democratic “interference“ in property as being inherently incorrect.

No, I agree that the anarcho capitalist future probably doesn’t end particularly well (but then, I feel that way about most (all?) potential systems). Claiming that homosexuals, feminists and minorities must be expelled ignores history though (they had to pass laws to keep market competition from reducing segregation).

Alright, so the problem here comes with the larger issue.  As minorities, feminists, and others gained power, they change society in a social democratic direction. If you reason like this, the empowerment of minorities becomes an externality, it can be good for the person involved but is catastrophic for the greater society.  It’s very similar to when Peter Thiel said we lost the ability to be a free society when we let women vote.

And this connects with the other point, political stability is the greatest externality there is, and we know in regimes where property rights are supreme how it gets resolved. Reactionary militias and death squads are used to enforce the will of the property owners.  Sometimes this is through the state, but the state is by no means required.  

These ideas of private security forces is laughable, why would you hire purely for profit mercenaries that will run away when instead you get cheaper and more dedicated reactionaries to do the job as long as you let them let them torture some feminists and minorities.

Of course things won’t work out exactly like he imagines.

But the unimaginable catastrophe is ongoing. How many millions died without need in 2016? How many will die this year?

And many of the libertarian policy proposals are actually plausible, in that there are people who would stand to benefit if they came in place. Even with that, it’s hard enough to get anything political done.

And why do you think this would be better?  How good did the “liberalization“ of Russia work?  What happened in Greece when they had their “free market reforms” after the crash, did that work better?  Do you really think that things today can’t get much much worse?  This is peak interventionists fallacy here.  

rustingbridges

Democracy is how we deal with this type of decision. At the very least, accepting that property is coercion means that we should reject totally the idea of democratic “interference“ in property as being inherently incorrect.

I’m no monarchist, and I don’t entirely reject the idea of democracy (ask me about land value taxes! (actually don’t internet, I don’t know anything, tell me about them if you have strong opinions. but it sounds like a good idea.))

But the issues of rampant democracy are well known. The common decency of man works to limit the rate of the damage - just as most won’t steal a phone off the ground, neither will most support a law of blatant robbery. But the moral hazard is very real.

And the moralizers are even worse! Someone with no real stake in the matter has decided that selling marijuana ought to be punished by jail time. So that they could feel better about themselves (at best) or enrich their crony friends (at worst) many people have suffered (and so has my paycheck, as with every other working american).

Alright, so the problem here comes with the larger issue. As minorities, feminists, and others gained power, they change society in a social democratic direction.

I don’t believe this at present.

If you reason like this, the empowerment of minorities becomes an externality, it can be good for the person involved but is catastrophic for the greater society.

That is an excellent case for putting it to individuals who might pursue a self interested course, rather than putting it up to a mechanism that a majority can use to violently enforce discriminatory norms against a minority.

It’s very similar to when Peter Thiel said we lost the ability to be a free society when we let women vote.

Well, if peter thiel wants to spend more money to be without women, let him. Good riddance and we’ll be alright without him.

And this connects with the other point, political stability is the greatest externality there is, and we know in regimes where property rights are supreme how it gets resolved. Reactionary militias and death squads are used to enforce the will of the property owners. Sometimes this is through the state, but the state is by no means required.

Political stability is valuable. And once we have that I think the best you can hope for from government is to limit the misgovernance.

These ideas of private security forces is laughable, why would you hire purely for profit mercenaries that will run away when instead you get cheaper and more dedicated reactionaries to do the job as long as you let them let them torture some feminists and minorities.

This is just as true for publicly provided mercenaries as it for private. You can’t dodge this sort of problem by publicizing it.

There are more private security personnel in the united states than there are police officers. And in my experience they’ve generally been more courteous and less bloodthirsty than their public counterparts.

It probably helps that they can actually be held liable for murder.

Do you really think that things today can’t get much much worse? This is peak interventionists fallacy here.

Of course things can get much worse than they are. That seems a distinct possibility. The traditional lever for making things much worse is a powerful centralized government. As such, I see it as being in my self interest to bind the hands of any future tyrant as much as possible.

Does that mean we should overthrow the government today? No, if you want that sort of radicalism you’ll have to look elsewhere. I want to sell the detritus of the state until we stop getting a good deal.

Do you want to keep up the drug war?

Do you want another land war in the mid east?

Do you want it to be illegal to build housing near to jobs?

Do you want billions of dollars to be wasted on signature campaign projects rather than meaningful public transit?

I don’t.

collapsedsquid

Does that mean we should overthrow the government today? No, if you want that sort of radicalism you’ll have to look elsewhere. I want to sell the detritus of the state until we stop getting a good deal.

I mentioned Greece and Russia before, so let me mention them again.  This does not actually work.

Look the problem here is that you can’t just assume away the need to get approval. The need to get public approval doesn’t go away.  I think you vastly underestimate the amount of government that is need to do this for a modern society.

In the current system you can blame government for all the sins, because it that carries out the jobs nobody wants to admit to needing.  You abolish government, you don’t abolish the desire for cheap oil and the desire to keep wealth through housing or the desire of some people bust heads, You just abolish democracy and accountability.  You just get nasty politics. You get the authoritarian leaders who promise you those things.  And in your desire to bind tyrants you just create them as the rules you choose become unbearable for the people living in them.

The state is not the cause of sin, it is just it’s bearer.

politics
brazenautomaton
pistachi0n

The Paperwork Reduction Act was enacted in 1980 to require federal agencies to fill out paperwork in order to request permission to require citizens to fill out paperwork.

brazenautomaton

phrased this way it sounds like a great idea

you can’t inflict it on others until you suffer it yourself, and maybe you realize how awful it is and stop yourself

mitigatedchaos

This is why I want many policies by Politicals to apply to the same Politicals that propose them even when it otherwise would seem wasteful.  Inflicting costs on others needs to have a cost in itself.

politics

Missing Scarcity?

A number of the “No Robot Jobpocalypse” arguments seem to hinge on the idea that as productivity increases, the costs of goods and services will approach zero.

But this seems based on the assumption that resources are effectively a function of labor.  However, if base resources are largely fixed after some level of labor (e.g., there are only so many iron atoms in a volume of dirt), and there are other potential uses for those resources than feeding the proles, then the laborers must competitively bid for the resources.

In that bidding, they may have to bid with someone several orders of magnitude more productive than they are (either due to owning the robots or just being that much more skilled/productive).  What guarantee is there that, even as the price of goods produced from the resources decreases overall, they are not bid out of the reach of the low-marginal-production workers?

@collapsedsquid

politics policy economics robot jobpocalpyse
collapsedsquid
Instead, the attempted transformation of the euro area into Greater Germania has simply dumped the persistent surpluses of German-speaking Europe, the Netherlands, and Scandinavia onto the rest of the world. Between 2008 and 2016 the combined current account balance shifted by 0.8 percentage points of world GDP. This can be explained almost entirely by a collapse in consumption and investment in Greece, Ireland, Italy, and Spain. That was mostly a consequence of policy choices pushed by the European Central Bank, the Eurogroup, and the IMF, with strong guidance from Germany and the Netherlands.

https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2017/02/01/2183509/the-us-shouldnt-blame-mexico-for-losing-at-trade-it-should-blame-germany/

AKA: Michael Pettis has been saying this for 2 decades, Mark Blyth’s been on the train since… at least 2012, and now we’re finally catching up.  

Free Trade doesn’t work.  

(via poipoipoi-2016)

Heck, Keynes said it in the 1940s and gave the solution.

(via collapsedsquid)

If this is doing what I think it’s doing, a single country could get part of the way there by having its own currency and applying tariffs at a rate based on its trade balance.  I was kind of hoping the Orange Man might do something like that, but it looks like he won’t and will do per-country punitive tariffs instead.

Source: poipoipoi-2016 politics policy economics capitalism trump
rangi42

If Trump is a time traveler, what did the original timeline look like?

sadoeconomist

I think we can guess a few things - I think Hillary won in 2016-α against Jeb, who was weakened in our timeline by the changes made to the Republican primaries after 2012 (which were influenced by Trump through Reince Priebus, another possible time traveler, judging solely by his name), as well as early targeted attacks from Trump himself. But Trump had a strong strategy in mind for beating Hillary, which he was absurdly confident in as far back as 2012 - and I think it’s possibly because he saw it work already. I think he might have copied his style, key elements of the campaign (the MAGA hats? the critical Rust Belt working class focus? his Twitter media manipulation? maybe the hacking of the Hillary campaign was accomplished using Trump’s foreknowledge?) from someone else who ran against Hillary in 2020-α, who was possibly even more of a strident nationalist than Trump and was riding an even greater populist backlash against Washington DC.

Perhaps this was one of the things Trump came back to prevent - something that became much more worthy of being called a fascist takeover of the US. And he did it using their methods because he knew they worked. Maybe the hats originally just said ‘Make America Great’ and Trump added ‘Again’ because for him, it’s the second time.

I’m not sure who this mysterious nationalist candidate could have been, but maybe Andrew Breitbart survived in the original timeline (did a time-traveling Trump orchestrate his mysterious death?). Maybe it was actually Richard Spencer? Maybe it was a reality TV host, which would explain why he did The Apprentice. Or possibly Steve Bannon - that would explain Bannon’s position in the Trump administration, perhaps.

Trump being a time traveler might explain his odd organizational structure, too - the handful of insiders who run everything and report directly to him could be the only people who know he’s from the future and can understand what he’s actually trying to do. And all the people who are otherwise unknown/from humble backgrounds but have been given a large degree of authority - it could be that Trump knew them in the future of the alpha timeline. I think one could argue that the way Trump does things is exactly how one would expect a time traveler to run an organization. Especially if that organization is inexplicably effective for how small and ad-hoc it seems - like if it can run a successful presidential campaign and manage billions in assets with just a few not-that-competent-or-qualified-seeming people.

If we assume that Trump’s major policy initiatives are anticipating the problems he’s seen the US run into in the alpha timeline, it doesn’t paint a pretty picture. I think his seeking detente with Russia and attempt to weaken Chinese industrial power and enhance America’s domestic industrial base suggests that in the alpha timeline, the US faced a strong Russo-Chinese alliance in some manner of conventional conflict - perhaps a new cold war, with many proxy conflicts around the world? Maybe a direct conflict in the South China Sea?

His rhetoric around Israel is basically ‘I’m going to be amazing for Israel’ with few explicit stated benefits - maybe in the alpha timeline, Israel suffered a great deal and possibly was destroyed, but Trump is confident he can prevent that? Maybe that has something to do with his similarly sketchy but apparently powerful hatred for Obama’s Iran deal? And the Wall - what did Trump see happen to Mexico that he’s so keen on building it so quickly? A natural disaster, a plague?

Perhaps also there was a terrorist attack early in 2017-α and Trump’s seemingly hamfisted immigration order was designed to disrupt it in our timeline - there’s a lot about the order that doesn’t add up unless there’s something bizarre like that going on. And tonight he made it obvious that he already knew the outcome of the Super Bowl, of course. Anyway, I think as his administration goes on, we’ll see more signs of the future Trump came back to prevent. Keep watching!

rangi42

This is not the first time Trump has come back. Perhaps this is his fitfh attempt, or his fiftieth. He communicates in Tweets because he’s sick of long professional speeches, he’s memorized them by now and boiled them down to their 140-character essence. They haven’t saved us from nuclear war in any previous timeline, but maybe now… if he can just grab enough global attention, knock fate off its path by any means necessary… we may yet be saved.

Source: sadoeconomist politics trump
argumate
shuffling-blogs

What if a (new) city kept all land as municipal property, but auctioned n-year ground leases. Furthermore, bids could have conditions on them, such as public availability of amenities like bathrooms, amount of commercial storefront space available, etc. Other parties, such as neighbouring leaseholders or residents, could contribute to bids that provided benefits to them, and avoid contributing to bids that were harmful, to help internalize those sorts of externalities. 

To ensure compensation for improvements on the land, on lease expiry, run two sets of auctions, one with all bids conditional on demolishing the existing improvements, and the other without that restriction. The demolition-conditional amount goes to the city, and the difference between that and the most successful bid that doesn’t condition on demolition goes to the previous leaseholder.

I haven’t checked this for exploits, like, at all, and my intuition says there probably are some. Also, allowing conditional bids would end up being complex and combinatorial; I’m not volunteering to write the software for that sort of auction system. But it seems like it’s potentially neat. 

argumate

centralised zoning by a non-state entity that owns all the land; and I heard a sound as of a million Libertarians screeching

mitigatedchaos

Daily reminder that in the highly capitalist and efficient city-state of Singapore, over 80% of residents live in housing leased from the state.

Source: its-okae-carly-rae urban planning singapore
ranma-official
ranma-official:
“ chroniclesofrettek:
“ kateordie:
“ trebled-negrita-princess:
“ rassmalai:
“ Throwback to this iconic tweet
” ”
It pretty much boils down to “I never had to think about it until it affected me personally” ”
Remember, having the right...
rassmalai

Throwback to this iconic tweet

trebled-negrita-princess

🤔🤔🤔🤔

kateordie

It pretty much boils down to “I never had to think about it until it affected me personally”

chroniclesofrettek

Remember, having the right opinions isn’t enough, you need to have them for the right reasons. 

ranma-official

Alternate explanation: women who hate men continue hating men even after they have male children, including obviously the male children they have.

mitigatedchaos

Alternate alternate explanation: This actually does happen, she just doesn’t know about it personally. (Truthfully it’s a mix of all three.)

Source: parkistan gender politics
collapsedsquid
rustingbridges

(noting again: I’m not an ancap, and don’t think it’s a realistic or even necessarily desirable outcome)

The amusing thing here is that Syria is one of the places that shows what happens when you get a collapse of the state

You can also pretty easily label syria as an example of what happens when you get a collision of four states, all shitty to different degrees (the old syrian regime, their russian backers, ISIL, and the us coalition proxy state).

History suggests almost nobody actually wants to live in this atomized state, they will form associations and thus attempt to reform the state almost immediately. Although that state could be one of aristocrats or warlords.

I agree, statelessness is probably not stable and this one of the reasons I am not an ancap. However, this still leaves 95% of the ancap position intact, even if it ruins their sound bytes. There are ancaps who will admit that statelessness may be unachievable, but that this has no real bearing on the rest of their platform.

The whole anarcho-capitalist idea set is filled with such astonishingly unrealistic projections on what people will do it astounds me.

I don’t think this is a reasonable criticism. Sure, the bottom 95% of ancaps are hugely unrealistic, but this is true of every ideology. I’ve not read the literature widely, but in his book, the thing about david friedman (one of the more important ancap writers) that impressed me the most was how realistic he was.

I disagree with him in a number of places (I wrote an entire series of posts mostly criticizing him!) but his arguments were mostly well thought out and set realistic expectations for how successful such policies could be.

One of the things that tends to draw me to libertarian policies is that they are often the only people in the room who are actually paying attention to incentive systems and how people actually act. The places where I most often disagree with libertarians are, in my estimation, the places where they’ve failed to consider historical precedent, but this is not the most common case.

collapsedsquid

See, I think incentives are the problem with their system.  One of the main times you see this is when they think of everything in property rights. You can see that’s the primitive they use to manipulate the world.  The problem is, it’s a legal construct. It’s this whole idea that society is governed by rules and not power.  The attempts they try to use to patch this are ridiculous, and without it the whole system falls apart instantly into violence.

I see these incentives, but I see these incentive arguments as ridiculous because there is so much they fail to consider.  It’s the classic libertarian-arguing point, when they say “Let us suppose“ you have to say “Let’s absolutely not suppose“ because the whole thing is often based on unrealistic assumptions.  These synthetic problems are constrained to give the result that they want and these  toy problems are used to show how great their system is.

I’m of the opinion that “incentives“ is not a good system to use, because you can construct problems such to give any incentive you want.  People take actions because they have an incentive, opium knocks people out because it has a dormitive power.  These arguments have the problem of unfalsifiability, I prefer to pay attention to what people do than make arguments about incentives.  You can tell just-so stories to give anyone any incentive you want, doesn’t mean that corresponds to any reality.  Much better to observe what people actually do.

rustingbridges

So, friedman again, both because he’s the author I’m most familiar with and mainstream enough that I don’t think this is cherrypicking. Here are the opening and closing paragraphs of a chapter he spends arguing against unsophisticated strains of libertarianism:

Many libertarians appear to believe that libertarianism can be stated as a simple and convincing moral principle from which everything else follows. Popular candidates are ‘It is always wrong to initiate coercion’ and ‘Everyone has the absolute right to control his own property, provided that he does not use it to violate the corresponding rights of others.’

My purpose is to argue that libertarianism is not a collection of straightforward and unambiguous arguments establishing with certainty a set of unquestionable propositions. It is rather the attempt to apply certain economic and ethical insights to a very complicated world. The more carefully one does so, the more complications one is likely to discover and the more qualifications one must put on one’s results.

I think if you look at the stronger versions of these claims, rather than j random tumblr ancap’s retelling of them, you’ll find that they are mostly close examinations of real situations. There’s still plenty to disagree with, but ignorance of the idea that society is governed by power is not one of them. One of the goals of libertarian policy is to limit the extent to which that power can coerce.

Friedman’s text in particular is full of historical observations and precedents that support many of his arguments, and almost all of his practical ones.

His section on a hypothetical ancap future is just that, hypothetical. But that has no bearing on his practical policy claims.

In his section on reform, he often starts with something along the lines of “let us suppose”, but for the most part he merely wants you to suppose things that have really happened.

collapsedsquid

You see, I reject his entire framing.  I go with the legal realist point of view here, property is coercion. Property is permission to do violence.

So, you could regard this as a bit of rhetorical irrelevance, but it’s not.  You can recreate horrible government systems using libertarian ideas.  I know this because one libertarian has, Hans-Hermann Hoppe.  He suggests that in a libertarian system, most people will exist as tenants on the property of rich people, there will be no free speech and no rights apart from that the landlord gives you, and leftist, homosexuals, feminists, and minorities must be expelled.  Libertarianism is quite compatible with genocide in that way, you just starve people.  When you get to how people in an actual “libertarian“ system might act who aren’t bound by postulates like theoretical people, it can get even worse.

Property is power, there’s no getting around that.  They have to do this “non-coercion“ bit to dodge that, but ultimately it is power and generally what the rich say goes.  The game of closing your eyes and pretending that this isn’t power is ridiculous. And then he imagines that these powerful people will play even by the rules he sets? 

His historical arguments are, as in other other article, cherry-picked examples he uses to suggest that things will work the way he intends.  Because something happened once in one context he  doesn’t fully understand and in fact nobody does, he suggests that it definitely will happen that way this time. It’s wishful thinking on an extreme scale, and as stated in that other article when he is wrong it will cause unimaginable catastrophe for everyone except possibly him and his rich friends.

And the “let us suppose“ bullshit not only allows you to phrase questions to get the answer you want, it also allows you to ignore certain causes that you may judge as irrelevant. It’s all about phrasing shit in the way of high-school math problems that we’re all trained to just accept and not question the premises or results to get out the “correct“ answer.

Source: razyrs politics
andhishorse
argumate

“banning Muslim immigration will only increase terrorism!”

I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such an outburst.

it’s literally “the terrorism will continue until immigration improves”

mitigatedchaos

Consider what it says about Muslims. It isn’t good. It only reinforces the Conservative viewpoint, much like some of the reaction to Charlie Hebdo did.

andhishorse

I’m not convinced that it says something about Muslims that similar circumstances wouldn’t say about other groups. (Having conveniently used the term “similar circumstances” in such a way that I’m not sure that similar circumstances exist for any other group, rendering my claim suspiciously difficult to disprove). It seems to just say that this course of action will have the effect of non-negligibly increasing the very small proportion of Muslims who think that All Americans Deserve to Die, on account of this being a course of action that will likely (and not with maximal inaccuracy) paint us as Bad People who Must Be Destroyed.

mitigatedchaos

What I mean is what it says about left-wing opinion of them. “Oh those poor Muslims, they’re so easy to rouse to violence. They can’t help it, so be nice to them!” It’s a form of special treatment that would not have been given to other religions, and it isn’t a form of respect.

But of course, the Left already doesn’t want real cultural diversity on this matter. They don’t want, for example, the Jizya. They want a watered-down version of the religion that is compatible with Western Secularism.

Source: argumate politics religion
bambamramfan

dogsuplex asked:

how do you feel about the "blowing vuvuzuelas at nazis" post

bambamramfan answered:

Someone link me this? Fifteen seconds google searching did not turn up whatever it is referring to.

bambamramfan

Okay they meant this.

For one as I said before, it’s the performative humiliation of the punch that is much more concerning than the violence itself (or the silencing aspect.) I’m super disturbed by the gif of him getting punched over and over that so many liberals seem to enjoy.

This is the love of violence towards the subhuman, our enemies and the ugly gits we viscerally dislike. It’s never far from the surface of ideology, and seeing people embrace it disgusts and confuses me. 

The vuvuzelvas… do not seem so bad as that.

For the second they expose the unsustainable contradiction of “free speech.” Since they are just countering the Nazis speech with more speech. As a material matter, they entirely drown the Nazi out, but then is that not the same operation as filling the media with lies and fake news to drown out people trying to explain the genuine costs and benefits of an election? Pure ugly noise only brings that logic to its extreme conclusion.

Free speech liberalism then says we must listen to the Nazi and not interrupt him in any way, and then we can respond by dismantling his points. Actual political debate never goes like that, so I welcome other speech tactics that win, so long as they are not doing other harm in the process.

I do not think the right wing is doing well governmentally because of overly respectful speech norms though, so this generally seems an unhelpful tactical line to take. But it’s not outright bad.

mitigatedchaos

TBH if people were drowning out Spencer with vuvuzelas and bagpipes instead we would not be having this discourse.