I’m much more skeptical that it won’t result in some pretty high unemployment, given that self-driving cars are on the horizon - and how many jobs are “merely” as difficult as driving a car? It isn’t that you have to just produce more value, you must produce *enough* value.
Sure, the individual automation processes may touch on individual tasks, but there are a lot of automation processes going on.
I don’t think you’re thinking in equilibrium
The base resources (land, metals, etc) are still scarce, so what’s to prevent them from being bid up in price? Isn’t having to compete with 100x as productive personnel for land/etc one of the major drivers for why CoL is so much higher in developed nations?
I really don’t trust that it’s just all going to work out when we’re creating something like slices of animal brains in silicon.
Animal brains are not made of silicon. Animal brains still do stuff silicon brains can’t do. It is still possible that silicon brains can never do everything that meat brains can. It is therefore reasonable to factor this possibility into your predictions.
Right, I was being less literal there and instead referring to how they can do multi-layered image recognition and hallucination in ways that seem unlike algorithms.